Saturday’s Core Brief: The Convergence
What will become of America?
Four theories. Four centuries. One conclusion.
A 14th-century Arab historian studying social bonds. A 20th-century British general studying empire lifecycles. Two American historians studying generational patterns. A modern economist studying debt cycles.
They never knew each other. They used different methods. They analysed different evidence. But when you place their frameworks side by side, a unified mechanism of imperial collapse emerges.
The pattern isn’t just similar. It’s the same pattern, observed from four different angles.



